D-backs at Mets
Last play · Tyrone Taylor grounds out softly, shortstop Geraldo Perdomo to first baseman Pavin Smith.
Win probability
Mets0%
AZ 100%NYM 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalAZ 2 – 0 NYM
D-backs led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 6.5 ↑
fair over 47.8% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+130 / -155
Mets favored ↑50%D-backs favored ↓
Biggest swing · Tim Tawa homers (5) on a fly ball to left center field. (inning 9) — -21% D-backs
9Tim Tawa homers (5) on a fly ball to left center field.4–2
8Juan Soto homers (5) on a line drive to left center field.3–2
7Geraldo Perdomo homers (5) on a fly ball to right center field.3–1
6Juan Soto homers (4) on a fly ball to left center field.2–1
5Eugenio Suárez out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Tyrone Taylor. Pavin Smith scores. Josh Naylor to 3rd.2–0
4Alek Thomas singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder Tyrone Taylor. Eugenio Suárez scores. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. to 3rd. Alek Thomas to 2nd. Alek Thomas advances to 2nd, on a throwing error by second baseman Jeff McNeil.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.










