Cubs at Pirates
Last play · Joey Bart flies out to right fielder Kyle Tucker.
Win probability
Pirates0%
CHC 100%PIT 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalCHC 3 – 2 PIT
Cubs led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 5.5 ↑
fair over 53.2% · hold 4.3%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+105 / -125
Pirates favored ↑50%Cubs favored ↓
Biggest swing · Seiya Suzuki homers (9) on a fly ball to left field. Ian Happ scores. (inning 7) — -22% Cubs
9Michael Busch singles on a sharp ground ball to right fielder Bryan Reynolds. Jon Berti scores. Ian Happ scores.8–3
9Ian Happ doubles (9) on a sharp fly ball to right fielder Bryan Reynolds. Dansby Swanson scores. Jon Berti to 3rd.6–3
8Bryan Reynolds grounds out, second baseman Nico Hoerner to first baseman Michael Busch. Henry Davis scores. Oneil Cruz to 3rd.5–3
7Seiya Suzuki homers (9) on a fly ball to left field. Ian Happ scores.5–2
5Seiya Suzuki homers (8) on a fly ball to left field.3–2
5Kyle Tucker homers (8) on a fly ball to right center field.2–2
5Dansby Swanson homers (6) on a fly ball to center field.1–2
3Oneil Cruz doubles (5) on a sharp fly ball to center fielder Pete Crow-Armstrong. Henry Davis scores.0–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.










