Nationals at Phillies
Last play · Rafael Marchán lines out to center fielder Jacob Young.
Win probability
Phillies0%
WSH 100%PHI 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalWSH 0 – 1 PHI
Phillies led after 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 8.5 ↑
fair over 51% · hold 6.9%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+135 / -180
Phillies favored ↑50%Nationals favored ↓
Biggest swing · Nathaniel Lowe singles on a ground ball to right fielder Nick Castellanos. CJ Abrams scores. (inning 6) — -17% Nationals
6Nick Castellanos singles on a ground ball to pitcher José A. Ferrer. Trea Turner scores. Bryce Harper to 3rd.4–2
6José Tena called out on strikes.4–1
6Luis García Jr. singles on a line drive to left fielder Max Kepler. Keibert Ruiz scores.3–1
6Keibert Ruiz reaches on a fielding error by first baseman Bryce Harper. Nathaniel Lowe scores. Keibert Ruiz to 3rd.2–1
6Nathaniel Lowe singles on a ground ball to right fielder Nick Castellanos. CJ Abrams scores.1–1
5Alec Bohm singles on a line drive to center fielder Jacob Young. Max Kepler scores.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.










