Royals at Rays
Last play · José Caballero grounds out, second baseman Michael Massey to first baseman Vinnie Pasquantino.
Win probability
Rays0%
KC 100%TB 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalKC 4 – 1 TB
Royals led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 50% · hold 4.8%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+135 / -160
Rays favored ↑50%Royals favored ↓
Biggest swing · Bobby Witt Jr. homers (3) on a fly ball to right field. Freddy Fermin scores. (inning 5) — -27% Royals
8Maikel Garcia singles on a line drive to center fielder Chandler Simpson. Jonathan India scores. Vinnie Pasquantino to 2nd.8–2
6Jonathan Aranda singles on a line drive to left fielder Jonathan India. Chandler Simpson scores.7–2
6Vinnie Pasquantino singles on a ground ball to left fielder Travis Jankowski. Freddy Fermin scores. Jonathan India scores. Bobby Witt Jr. to 2nd.7–1
6Bobby Witt Jr. hit by pitch. Mark Canha scores. Freddy Fermin to 3rd. Jonathan India to 2nd.5–1
5Salvador Perez doubles (11) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Chandler Simpson. Vinnie Pasquantino scores.4–1
5Bobby Witt Jr. homers (3) on a fly ball to right field. Freddy Fermin scores.3–1
4Michael Massey out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Chandler Simpson. Maikel Garcia scores.1–1
1Yandy Díaz homers (4) on a fly ball to center field.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.










