Royals at Orioles
Last play · Michael Massey grounds out, shortstop Gunnar Henderson to first baseman Ryan Mountcastle.
Win probability
Orioles100%
KC 0%BAL 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalKC 0 – 0 BAL
Tied through 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 9.5
fair over 47.8% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+120 / -145
Orioles favored ↑50%Royals favored ↓
Biggest swing · Ryan O'Hearn homers (6) on a fly ball to center field. Adley Rutschman scores. (inning 7) — +31% Orioles
7Emmanuel Rivera singles on a line drive to right fielder Drew Waters. Ryan Mountcastle scores. Ramón Laureano to 3rd. Dylan Carlson to 2nd.0–3
7Ryan O'Hearn homers (6) on a fly ball to center field. Adley Rutschman scores.0–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.










