Twins at Red Sox
Last play · Ty France grounds into a double play, shortstop Trevor Story to second baseman David Hamilton to first baseman Romy Gonzalez. Brooks Lee out at 2nd. Ty France out at 1st.
Win probability
Red Sox100%
MIN 0%BOS 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalMIN 1 – 1 BOS
Tied through 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 7.5 ↑
fair over 52% · hold 6.8%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-105 / -125
Red Sox favored ↑50%Twins favored ↓
Biggest swing · Rafael Devers singles on a ground ball to second baseman Edouard Julien. Connor Wong scores. David Hamilton scores. (inning 7) — +31% Red Sox
8Jarren Duran singles on a ground ball to right fielder Harrison Bader. David Hamilton scores.1–6
8David Hamilton doubles (1) on a fly ball to center fielder Byron Buxton. Romy Gonzalez scores.1–5
8Romy Gonzalez doubles (6) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Harrison Bader. Trevor Story scores.1–4
7Rafael Devers singles on a ground ball to second baseman Edouard Julien. Connor Wong scores. David Hamilton scores.1–3
3Ryan Jeffers homers (2) on a line drive to left field.1–1
1Alex Bregman homers (8) on a fly ball to center field.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.










