Rays at Yankees
Last play · Junior Caminero strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Yankees100%
TB 0%NYY 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalTB 0 – 3 NYY
Yankees led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 53.2% · hold 4.3%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+205 / -250
Yankees favored ↑50%Rays favored ↓
Biggest swing · Paul Goldschmidt homers (3) on a fly ball to right field. Jorbit Vivas scores. Aaron Judge scores. (inning 5) — +33% Yankees
5Paul Goldschmidt homers (3) on a fly ball to right field. Jorbit Vivas scores. Aaron Judge scores.0–3
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.










