Nationals at Reds
Last play · Dylan Crews strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Reds100%
WSH 0%CIN 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalWSH 1 – 5 CIN
Reds led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 10.5 ↓
fair over 52.2% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+160 / -190
Reds favored ↑50%Nationals favored ↓
Biggest swing · Santiago Espinal doubles (5) on a line drive to left fielder James Wood. Matt McLain scores. Elly De La Cruz scores. (inning 1) — +17% Reds
6TJ Friedl out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Jacob Young. Tyler Stephenson scores.1–6
5Josh Bell homers (5) on a line drive to right center field.1–5
3Tyler Stephenson doubles (1) on a line drive to left fielder James Wood. Santiago Espinal scores. Spencer Steer scores.0–5
2Matt McLain grounds into a force out, first baseman Nathaniel Lowe to shortstop CJ Abrams. Tyler Stephenson scores. Blake Dunn to 3rd. TJ Friedl out at 2nd. Matt McLain to 1st.0–3
1Santiago Espinal doubles (5) on a line drive to left fielder James Wood. Matt McLain scores. Elly De La Cruz scores.0–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.










