Guardians at Blue Jays
Last play · Gabriel Arias grounds out, third baseman Ernie Clement to first baseman Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
Win probability
Blue Jays100%
CLE 0%TOR 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalCLE 2 – 3 TOR
Blue Jays led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 7.5 ↑
fair over 48.9% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+140 / -165
Blue Jays favored ↑50%Guardians favored ↓
Biggest swing · Nathan Lukes singles on a line drive to right fielder Jhonkensy Noel. George Springer scores. Daulton Varsho scores. Nathan Lukes to 2nd. (inning 8) — +34% Blue Jays
8Nathan Lukes singles on a line drive to right fielder Jhonkensy Noel. George Springer scores. Daulton Varsho scores. Nathan Lukes to 2nd.3–5
6Carlos Santana singles on a ground ball to right fielder Addison Barger. Daniel Schneemann scores.3–3
5George Springer homers (3) on a fly ball to center field.2–3
4Bo Naylor homers (5) on a fly ball to center field.2–2
3Alejandro Kirk singles on a line drive to left fielder Steven Kwan. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. scores. Anthony Santander scores. George Springer to 3rd. Alejandro Kirk to 2nd. Alejandro Kirk advances to 2nd, on a throwing error by left fielder Steven Kwan.1–2
2Carlos Santana homers (3) on a fly ball to right field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.










