D-backs at Phillies
Last play · Alek Thomas strikes out swinging, catcher J.T. Realmuto to first baseman Bryce Harper.
Win probability
Phillies100%
AZ 0%PHI 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalAZ 0 – 7 PHI
Phillies led after 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 9.5
fair over 52.2% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+105 / -125
Phillies favored ↑50%D-backs favored ↓
Biggest swing · Max Kepler homers (5) on a fly ball to right center field. Nick Castellanos scores. (inning 2) — +20% Phillies
7Lourdes Gurriel Jr. homers (5) on a fly ball to left field. Gabriel Moreno scores.2–7
4Nick Castellanos reaches on a throwing error by third baseman Eugenio Suárez. Trea Turner scores. Kyle Schwarber to 2nd.0–7
3J.T. Realmuto homers (3) on a fly ball to left center field. Kyle Schwarber scores. Max Kepler scores.0–6
2Brandon Marsh doubles (1) on a ground ball to right fielder Corbin Carroll. J.T. Realmuto scores. Alec Bohm to 3rd.0–3
2Max Kepler homers (5) on a fly ball to right center field. Nick Castellanos scores.0–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.










