Rays at Yankees
Last play · Austin Wells grounds out, first baseman Curtis Mead to pitcher Pete Fairbanks.
Win probability
Yankees0%
TB 100%NYY 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalTB 1 – 2 NYY
Yankees led after 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 11.5 ↓
fair over 51% · hold 6.9%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+185 / -225
Yankees favored ↑50%Rays favored ↓
Biggest swing · José Caballero reaches on a fielder's choice. Brandon Lowe scores. Curtis Mead to 2nd. Fielding error by shortstop Anthony Volpe. (inning 8) — -26% Rays
8José Caballero reaches on a fielder's choice. Brandon Lowe scores. Curtis Mead to 2nd. Fielding error by shortstop Anthony Volpe.3–2
8Curtis Mead singles on a line drive to left fielder Cody Bellinger. Chandler Simpson scores. Brandon Lowe to 3rd.2–2
5Austin Wells homers (6) on a fly ball to right center field.1–2
2Taylor Walls out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Cody Bellinger. José Caballero scores.1–1
1Aaron Judge homers (11) on a fly ball to right center field.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.










