Twins at Red Sox
Last play · Wilyer Abreu flies out to left fielder DaShawn Keirsey Jr.
Win probability
Red Sox0%
MIN 100%BOS 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalMIN 1 – 1 BOS
Tied through 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 7.5 ↑
fair over 50% · hold 4.8%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-105 / -115
Red Sox favored ↑50%Twins favored ↓
Biggest swing · Kody Clemens homers (1) on a fly ball to right field. Ty France scores. (inning 6) — -28% Twins
7Rafael Devers singles on a ground ball to center fielder Byron Buxton. Jarren Duran scores.4–3
7Jarren Duran triples (4) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Harrison Bader. Connor Wong scores.4–2
6Trevor Larnach singles on a line drive to left fielder Jarren Duran. Harrison Bader scores. Christian Vázquez to 2nd.4–1
6Kody Clemens homers (1) on a fly ball to right field. Ty France scores.3–1
4Ty France grounds out, second baseman David Hamilton to first baseman Romy Gonzalez. Carlos Correa scores. Brooks Lee to 3rd.1–1
3Rafael Devers singles on a line drive to center fielder Byron Buxton. Jarren Duran scores.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.










