Cubs at Brewers
Last play · Christian Yelich grounds out, pitcher Brad Keller to first baseman Michael Busch.
Win probability
Brewers0%
CHC 100%MIL 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalCHC 6 – 2 MIL
Cubs led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 6.5 ↑
fair over 52.2% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-115 / -105
Brewers favored ↑50%Cubs favored ↓
Biggest swing · Pete Crow-Armstrong homers (9) on a fly ball to right center field. Carson Kelly scores. Nico Hoerner scores. (inning 4) — -34% Cubs
5Kyle Tucker homers (9) on a fly ball to right field.6–2
4Rhys Hoskins homers (4) on a line drive to left center field.5–2
4Dansby Swanson homers (7) on a fly ball to left center field.5–1
4Pete Crow-Armstrong homers (9) on a fly ball to right center field. Carson Kelly scores. Nico Hoerner scores.4–1
3Brice Turang singles on a sharp line drive to right fielder Kyle Tucker. Jackson Chourio scores.1–1
1Justin Turner singles on a ground ball to center fielder Jackson Chourio. Ian Happ scores. Carson Kelly to 2nd.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.










