Mets at Cardinals
Last play · Brandon Nimmo flies out to left fielder Lars Nootbaar.
Win probability
Cardinals100%
NYM 0%STL 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalNYM 4 – 4 STL
Tied through 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 51% · hold 6.9%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-160 / +125
Cardinals favored ↑50%Mets favored ↓
Biggest swing · Starling Marte singles on a line drive to right fielder Jordan Walker. Juan Soto scores. Pete Alonso scores. Mark Vientos to 3rd. (inning 3) — -24% Mets
6Victor Scott II doubles (6) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Tyrone Taylor. Yohel Pozo scores.4–5
3Willson Contreras singles on a ground ball to center fielder Tyrone Taylor. Masyn Winn scores. Nolan Arenado to 3rd.4–4
3Nolan Arenado singles on a ground ball to third baseman Mark Vientos. Lars Nootbaar scores. Masyn Winn to 3rd.4–3
3Francisco Alvarez singles on a ground ball to right fielder Jordan Walker. Mark Vientos scores. Starling Marte to 3rd.4–2
3Starling Marte singles on a line drive to right fielder Jordan Walker. Juan Soto scores. Pete Alonso scores. Mark Vientos to 3rd.3–2
3Pete Alonso singles on a line drive to left fielder Lars Nootbaar. Tyrone Taylor scores. Juan Soto to 2nd.1–2
2Alec Burleson homers (1) on a fly ball to right center field. Nolan Arenado scores.0–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.










