Royals at Orioles
Last play · Ryan O'Hearn called out on strikes.
Win probability
Orioles0%
KC 100%BAL 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalKC 4 – 5 BAL
Orioles led after 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 10.5 ↓
fair over 46.8% · hold 4.3%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+115 / -135
Orioles favored ↑50%Royals favored ↓
Biggest swing · Drew Waters singles on a line drive to center fielder Cedric Mullins. Salvador Perez scores. Hunter Renfroe scores. (inning 4) — -26% Royals
9Michael Massey homers (1) on a fly ball to right center field. Cavan Biggio scores.11–6
8Ryan Mountcastle singles on a ground ball to right fielder Hunter Renfroe. Ryan O'Hearn scores.9–6
8Orioles challenged (tag play), call on the field was upheld: Bobby Witt Jr. doubles (13) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Cedric Mullins. Kyle Isbel scores. Bobby Witt Jr. to 3rd.9–5
8Luke Maile homers (1) on a fly ball to left center field.8–5
7Vinnie Pasquantino homers (6) on a fly ball to right center field.7–5
7Bobby Witt Jr. homers (4) on a fly ball to left center field.6–5
6Maikel Garcia homers (4) on a fly ball to left center field.5–5
5Ryan O'Hearn homers (7) on a fly ball to left center field.4–5
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.










