Nationals at Reds
Last play · Jose Trevino strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Reds0%
WSH 100%CIN 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalWSH 1 – 1 CIN
Tied through 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 7.5 ↑
fair over 50% · hold 4.8%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-115 / -105
Reds favored ↑50%Nationals favored ↓
Biggest swing · CJ Abrams doubles (5) on a line drive to left fielder Gavin Lux. Alex Call scores. Jacob Young scores. (inning 7) — -22% Nationals
7CJ Abrams doubles (5) on a line drive to left fielder Gavin Lux. Alex Call scores. Jacob Young scores.4–1
7Luis García Jr. homers (3) on a fly ball to right field.2–1
2Tyler Stephenson homers (1) on a fly ball to left field.1–1
2Luis García Jr. out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Blake Dunn. Nathaniel Lowe scores.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.










