Guardians at Blue Jays
Last play · George Springer strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Blue Jays0%
CLE 100%TOR 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalCLE 4 – 3 TOR
Guardians led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 7.5 ↑
fair over 50% · hold 4.8%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-120 / +100
Blue Jays favored ↑50%Guardians favored ↓
Biggest swing · Andrés Giménez singles on a line drive to center fielder Angel Martínez, deflected by pitcher Tanner Bibee. Alan Roden scores. Nathan Lukes scores. (inning 4) — +21% Blue Jays
9Vladimir Guerrero Jr. out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Daniel Schneemann. Andrés Giménez scores.5–4
9Carlos Santana walks. Angel Martínez scores. Steven Kwan to 3rd. Kyle Manzardo to 2nd.5–3
4Andrés Giménez singles on a line drive to center fielder Angel Martínez, deflected by pitcher Tanner Bibee. Alan Roden scores. Nathan Lukes scores.4–3
4Nathan Lukes doubles (2) on a line drive to left fielder Steven Kwan. Addison Barger scores. Alan Roden to 3rd.4–1
4Gabriel Arias singles on a line drive to right fielder George Springer. Carlos Santana scores. Daniel Schneemann scores. Gabriel Arias out at 2nd on the throw, right fielder George Springer to second baseman Andrés Giménez to shortstop Bo Bichette.4–0
4Daniel Schneemann doubles (5) on a sharp line drive to right fielder George Springer. Kyle Manzardo scores. Carlos Santana to 3rd.2–0
3Steven Kwan grounds into a force out, second baseman Andrés Giménez to shortstop Bo Bichette. Gabriel Arias scores. Angel Martínez out at 2nd. Steven Kwan to 1st.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.










