Mets at Cardinals
Last play · Luisangel Acuña pops out to second baseman José Barrero.
Win probability
Cardinals100%
NYM 0%STL 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalNYM 2 – 6 STL
Cardinals led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 53.2% · hold 4.3%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-120 / +100
Cardinals favored ↑50%Mets favored ↓
Biggest swing · Brendan Donovan singles on a ground ball to center fielder José Azócar. Victor Scott II scores. José Barrero scores. Alec Burleson to 3rd. (inning 4) — +22% Cardinals
8Francisco Lindor singles on a ground ball to right fielder Lars Nootbaar. Jeff McNeil scores. Luisangel Acuña scores. Tyrone Taylor to 2nd.5–6
6Francisco Lindor grounds into a force out, fielded by shortstop José Barrero. Jeff McNeil scores. José Azócar out at 2nd. Francisco Lindor advances to 2nd, on a throwing error by shortstop José Barrero.3–6
4Willson Contreras singles on a line drive to right fielder Juan Soto. Alec Burleson scores. Brendan Donovan scores. Nolan Arenado to 3rd.2–6
4Brendan Donovan singles on a ground ball to center fielder José Azócar. Victor Scott II scores. José Barrero scores. Alec Burleson to 3rd.2–4
3Nolan Gorman flies into a sacrifice double play, left fielder Jesse Winker to catcher Luis Torrens to second baseman Jeff McNeil to catcher Luis Torrens. Brendan Donovan scores. Nolan Arenado out at home.2–2
3Jesse Winker out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Brendan Donovan. Juan Soto scores.2–1
2Willson Contreras homers (4) on a fly ball to right center field.1–1
1Brandon Nimmo doubles (5) on a sharp fly ball to right fielder Lars Nootbaar. Pete Alonso scores.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.










