Reds at Braves
Last play · Spencer Steer grounds out, shortstop Nick Allen to first baseman Matt Olson.
Win probability
Braves100%
CIN 0%ATL 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalCIN 0 – 4 ATL
Braves led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 7.5 ↑
fair over 51.1% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+115 / -135
Braves favored ↑50%Reds favored ↓
Biggest swing · Austin Riley singles on a line drive to center fielder TJ Friedl. Alex Verdugo scores. (inning 3) — +12% Braves
3Reds challenged (catch or drop), call on the field was upheld: Matt Olson hits an inside-the-park home run (6) on a fly ball down the left-field line. Austin Riley scores.0–4
3Austin Riley singles on a line drive to center fielder TJ Friedl. Alex Verdugo scores.0–2
3Alex Verdugo doubles (6) on a ground ball to right fielder Jake Fraley. Nick Allen scores.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.










