Padres at Yankees
Last play · Jasson Domínguez strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Yankees0%
SD 100%NYY 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalSD 0 – 2 NYY
Yankees led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 6.5 ↑
fair over 50% · hold 4.8%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+135 / -160
Yankees favored ↑50%Padres favored ↓
Biggest swing · Xander Bogaerts singles on a line drive to left fielder Cody Bellinger. Luis Arraez scores. Manny Machado scores. (inning 8) — -52% Padres
8Xander Bogaerts singles on a line drive to left fielder Cody Bellinger. Luis Arraez scores. Manny Machado scores.4–3
8Manny Machado doubles (12) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Cody Bellinger. Tyler Wade scores. Brandon Lockridge scores. Luis Arraez to 3rd.2–3
6Anthony Volpe out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Oscar Gonzalez. Paul Goldschmidt scores.0–3
3Trent Grisham homers (9) on a fly ball to right field. Jorbit Vivas scores.0–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.










