Astros at Brewers
Last play · Mauricio Dubón flies out to left fielder Isaac Collins.
Win probability
Brewers100%
HOU 0%MIL 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalHOU 0 – 3 MIL
Brewers led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 9.5 ↓
fair over 47.8% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-105 / -115
Brewers favored ↑50%Astros favored ↓
Biggest swing · Christian Yelich homers (6) on a fly ball to center field. William Contreras scores. (inning 3) — +17% Brewers
8Jake Bauers singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder Jake Meyers. Daz Cameron scores.1–5
8Rhys Hoskins doubles (3) on a line drive to left fielder Zach Dezenzo. Christian Yelich scores.1–4
6Christian Walker reaches on a fielder's choice. Jose Altuve scores. Isaac Paredes to 2nd. Throwing error by pitcher Tobias Myers.1–3
3Christian Yelich homers (6) on a fly ball to center field. William Contreras scores.0–3
3William Contreras singles on a sharp line drive to left fielder Zach Dezenzo. Joey Ortiz scores.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.










