Padres at Yankees
Last play · Fernando Tatis Jr. grounds out, shortstop Anthony Volpe to first baseman Paul Goldschmidt.
Win probability
Yankees100%
SD 0%NYY 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalSD 2 – 2 NYY
Tied through 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 6.5 ↑
fair over 52.2% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+105 / -125
Yankees favored ↑50%Padres favored ↓
Biggest swing · Jason Heyward out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Cody Bellinger. Jackson Merrill scores. (inning 4) — -26% Padres
7Austin Wells hits a grand slam (7) to right field. Aaron Judge scores. Cody Bellinger scores. Anthony Volpe scores.3–12
7Anthony Volpe singles on a ground ball to third baseman Manny Machado. Oswald Peraza scores. Aaron Judge to 3rd. Cody Bellinger to 2nd.3–8
7Cody Bellinger singles on a line drive to right fielder Fernando Tatis Jr. Trent Grisham scores. Oswald Peraza to 3rd. Aaron Judge to 2nd.3–7
7Ben Rice doubles (8) on a ground ball to right fielder Fernando Tatis Jr. Austin Wells scores. Paul Goldschmidt scores. Trent Grisham to 3rd.3–6
7Trent Grisham walks. Anthony Volpe scores. Austin Wells to 3rd. Paul Goldschmidt to 2nd.3–4
7Austin Wells singles on a ground ball to right fielder Fernando Tatis Jr. Jasson Domínguez scores. Anthony Volpe to 2nd.3–3
7Fernando Tatis Jr. doubles (5) on a line drive to right fielder Aaron Judge. Gavin Sheets scores. Elias Díaz to 3rd.3–2
4Jasson Domínguez singles on a ground ball to right fielder Fernando Tatis Jr. Cody Bellinger scores. Jasson Domínguez to 2nd. Throwing error by right fielder Fernando Tatis Jr.2–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.










