Mets at D-backs
Last play · Corbin Carroll strikes out swinging.
Win probability
D-backs0%
NYM 100%AZ 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalNYM 2 – 1 AZ
Mets led after 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 7.5 ↑
fair over 47.8% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference+100 / -120
D-backs favored ↑50%Mets favored ↓
Biggest swing · Pete Alonso homers (9) on a fly ball to left field. Juan Soto scores. (inning 4) — -26% Mets
8Eugenio Suárez singles on a sharp fly ball to center fielder Tyrone Taylor. Corbin Carroll scores. Ketel Marte scores. Josh Naylor to 2nd.5–4
8Josh Naylor singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder Tyrone Taylor. Geraldo Perdomo scores. Corbin Carroll to 3rd. Ketel Marte to 2nd.5–2
7Francisco Lindor homers (7) on a fly ball to right center field. Francisco Alvarez scores. Tyrone Taylor scores.5–1
4Pete Alonso homers (9) on a fly ball to left field. Juan Soto scores.2–1
1Corbin Carroll homers (10) on a fly ball to right center field.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.










