Pirates at Cardinals
Last play · Bryan Reynolds called out on strikes.
Win probability
Cardinals100%
PIT 0%STL 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalPIT 3 – 2 STL
Pirates led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 9.5 ↓
fair over 47.8% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+105 / -125
Cardinals favored ↑50%Pirates favored ↓
Biggest swing · Willson Contreras homers (5) on a line drive to left field. Nolan Arenado scores. (inning 6) — +34% Cardinals
6José Barrero hits a ground-rule double (1) on a line drive down the left-field line. Nolan Gorman scores. Pedro Pagés scores. Victor Scott II to 3rd.3–6
6Willson Contreras homers (5) on a line drive to left field. Nolan Arenado scores.3–4
4Adam Frazier singles on a line drive to center fielder Victor Scott II. Joey Bart scores. Enmanuel Valdez to 2nd.3–2
3Alec Burleson homers (2) on a fly ball to right center field.2–2
3José Barrero homers (1) on a fly ball to left center field.2–1
1Bryan Reynolds homers (5) on a fly ball to right field. Oneil Cruz scores.2–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.










