Mets at D-backs
Last play · Mark Vientos flies out to center fielder Alek Thomas.
Win probability
D-backs100%
NYM 0%AZ 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalNYM 1 – 2 AZ
D-backs led after 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 10.5 ↓
fair over 46.8% · hold 4.3%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-120 / +100
D-backs favored ↑50%Mets favored ↓
Biggest swing · Lourdes Gurriel Jr. homers (6) on a fly ball to left center field. Josh Naylor scores. (inning 6) — +17% D-backs
7Josh Naylor out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Brandon Nimmo. Corbin Carroll scores.1–5
6Lourdes Gurriel Jr. homers (6) on a fly ball to left center field. Josh Naylor scores.1–4
4Geraldo Perdomo grounds out, shortstop Francisco Lindor to first baseman Pete Alonso. Josh Naylor scores. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. to 3rd.1–2
4Josh Naylor grounds into a force out, second baseman Jeff McNeil to shortstop Francisco Lindor. Randal Grichuk scores. Eugenio Suárez out at 2nd. Josh Naylor to 1st.1–1
3Pete Alonso walks. Tyrone Taylor scores. Francisco Lindor to 3rd. Juan Soto to 2nd.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.










