Astros at Brewers
Last play · Brendan Rodgers strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Brewers100%
HOU 0%MIL 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalHOU 0 – 4 MIL
Brewers led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 6.5 ↑
fair over 54.3% · hold 4.1%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference+100 / -120
Brewers favored ↑50%Astros favored ↓
Biggest swing · Brendan Rodgers homers (1) on a fly ball to right field. Yainer Diaz scores. Jake Meyers scores. (inning 7) — -24% Astros
7Brendan Rodgers homers (1) on a fly ball to right field. Yainer Diaz scores. Jake Meyers scores.3–4
1Jake Bauers homers (3) on a fly ball to center field. Rhys Hoskins scores.0–4
1Rhys Hoskins doubles (4) on a sharp fly ball to center fielder Jake Meyers. Brice Turang scores. William Contreras scores.0–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.










