Guardians at Nationals
Last play · Brayan Rocchio lines out to left fielder Alex Call.
Win probability
Nationals100%
CLE 0%WSH 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalCLE 2 – 4 WSH
Nationals led after 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 11.5 ↓
fair over 46.8% · hold 4.3%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-120 / +100
Nationals favored ↑50%Guardians favored ↓
Biggest swing · Gabriel Arias singles on a line drive to left fielder Alex Call. Kyle Manzardo scores. Carlos Santana scores. Bo Naylor to 2nd. (inning 7) — -41% Guardians
9Gabriel Arias out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Dylan Crews. Carlos Santana scores.9–10
7José Tena doubles (3) on a line drive to center fielder Angel Martínez. Keibert Ruiz scores. Dylan Crews scores.8–10
7Dylan Crews doubles (2) on a fly ball to left fielder Steven Kwan. Nathaniel Lowe scores. Keibert Ruiz to 3rd.8–8
7Keibert Ruiz singles on a ground ball to right fielder Jhonkensy Noel. Alex Call scores. Nathaniel Lowe to 3rd.8–7
7Angel Martínez singles on a ground ball to shortstop CJ Abrams. Bo Naylor scores. Nolan Jones out at home, shortstop CJ Abrams.8–6
7Gabriel Arias singles on a line drive to left fielder Alex Call. Kyle Manzardo scores. Carlos Santana scores. Bo Naylor to 2nd.7–6
7Kyle Manzardo grounds into a force out, shortstop CJ Abrams to second baseman Luis García Jr. Jhonkensy Noel scores. José Ramírez out at 2nd. Kyle Manzardo to 1st.5–6
7José Ramírez singles on a ground ball to shortstop CJ Abrams. Steven Kwan scores. Jhonkensy Noel to 3rd.4–6
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.










