Reds at Braves
Last play · Eddie Rosario strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Braves0%
CIN 100%ATL 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalCIN 4 – 1 ATL
Reds led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 9.5 ↓
fair over 51.1% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-105 / -115
Braves favored ↑50%Reds favored ↓
Biggest swing · Ozzie Albies out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder TJ Friedl. Marcell Ozuna scores. (inning 6) — +16% Braves
6Ozzie Albies out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder TJ Friedl. Marcell Ozuna scores.4–3
6Matt Olson singles on a ground ball to center fielder TJ Friedl, deflected by shortstop Elly De La Cruz. Austin Riley scores. Marcell Ozuna to 3rd.4–2
5Drake Baldwin homers (3) on a fly ball to right center field.4–1
4Tyler Stephenson singles on a line drive to left fielder Alex Verdugo. Gavin Lux scores.4–0
3TJ Friedl homers (3) on a fly ball to center field.3–0
1Gavin Lux grounds into a double play, third baseman Austin Riley to first baseman Matt Olson to second baseman Ozzie Albies. Matt McLain scores. Elly De La Cruz out at 3rd.2–0
1TJ Friedl homers (2) on a fly ball to right center field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.










