Phillies at Rays
Last play · Curtis Mead strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Rays0%
PHI 100%TB 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalPHI 6 – 0 TB
Phillies led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 9.5 ↓
fair over 51.1% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-165 / +140
Rays favored ↑50%Phillies favored ↓
Biggest swing · Trea Turner homers (2) on a fly ball to left center field. (inning 3) — -14% Phillies
6Bryson Stott singles on a line drive to left fielder Christopher Morel. Johan Rojas scores.7–0
4Bryce Harper doubles (7) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Chandler Simpson. Bryson Stott scores. Trea Turner scores.6–0
4Trea Turner singles on a ground ball to right fielder José Caballero. Johan Rojas scores. Bryson Stott to 2nd.4–0
4Bryson Stott singles on a ground ball to left fielder Christopher Morel. Alec Bohm scores. Johan Rojas to 3rd.3–0
4Johan Rojas hits a sacrifice bunt. J.T. Realmuto scores. Alec Bohm to 2nd. Johan Rojas to 1st.2–0
3Trea Turner homers (2) on a fly ball to left center field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.










