Giants at Cubs
Last play · Nico Hoerner grounds out, third baseman Matt Chapman to first baseman LaMonte Wade Jr.
Win probability
Cubs0%
SF 100%CHC 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalSF 3 – 1 CHC
Giants led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 9.5 ↓
fair over 50% · hold 4.8%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+140 / -165
Cubs favored ↑50%Giants favored ↓
Biggest swing · Wilmer Flores singles on a line drive to right fielder Seiya Suzuki. Mike Yastrzemski scores. Willy Adames to 3rd. (inning 1) — -12% Giants
4Pete Crow-Armstrong doubles (11) on a fly ball to left fielder Heliot Ramos. Nico Hoerner scores.3–1
4Cubs challenged (tag play), call on the field was overturned: Christian Koss singles on a line drive to center fielder Pete Crow-Armstrong. Wilmer Flores scores. LaMonte Wade Jr. out at home on the throw, center fielder Pete Crow-Armstrong to catcher Carson Kelly.3–0
4LaMonte Wade Jr. doubles (6) on a line drive to right fielder Seiya Suzuki. Matt Chapman scores. Wilmer Flores to 3rd.2–0
1Wilmer Flores singles on a line drive to right fielder Seiya Suzuki. Mike Yastrzemski scores. Willy Adames to 3rd.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.










