Padres at Yankees
Last play · J.C. Escarra out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Jason Heyward. Jasson Domínguez scores.
Win probability
Yankees100%
SD 0%NYY 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalSD 1 – 0 NYY
Padres led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 5.5 ↑
fair over 45.7% · hold 4.1%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+145 / -175
Yankees favored ↑50%Padres favored ↓
Biggest swing · Trent Grisham homers (10) on a fly ball to right field. Oswaldo Cabrera scores. (inning 8) — +44% Yankees
10J.C. Escarra out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Jason Heyward. Jasson Domínguez scores.3–4
8Trent Grisham homers (10) on a fly ball to right field. Oswaldo Cabrera scores.3–3
8Xander Bogaerts out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Cody Bellinger. Manny Machado scores.3–1
8Jackson Merrill singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder Cody Bellinger. Fernando Tatis Jr. scores. Manny Machado to 3rd.2–1
7Cody Bellinger homers (5) on a fly ball to right field.1–1
4Jackson Merrill homers (4) on a fly ball to right center field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.










