Pirates at Cardinals
Last play · Ke'Bryan Hayes grounds out, third baseman Nolan Gorman to first baseman Willson Contreras.
Win probability
Cardinals100%
PIT 0%STL 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalPIT 0 – 3 STL
Cardinals led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 9.5 ↓
fair over 51.1% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+150 / -180
Cardinals favored ↑50%Pirates favored ↓
Biggest swing · Masyn Winn doubles (5) on a pop up to first baseman Enmanuel Valdez. Lars Nootbaar scores. (inning 3) — +12% Cardinals
8Jordan Walker singles on a sharp ground ball to center fielder Oneil Cruz. Brendan Donovan scores. Luken Baker scores.0–5
5Masyn Winn doubles (6) on a ground ball to left fielder Tommy Pham. Victor Scott II scores.0–3
3Masyn Winn doubles (5) on a pop up to first baseman Enmanuel Valdez. Lars Nootbaar scores.0–2
3Lars Nootbaar singles on a line drive to right fielder Bryan Reynolds. Victor Scott II scores. Lars Nootbaar to 2nd.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.










