Astros at Brewers
Last play · Vinny Capra flies out to left fielder Mauricio Dubón.
Win probability
Brewers0%
HOU 100%MIL 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalHOU 3 – 1 MIL
Astros led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 9.5 ↓
fair over 51.1% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-135 / +115
Brewers favored ↑50%Astros favored ↓
Biggest swing · Jeremy Peña homers (5) on a fly ball to left field. Jake Meyers scores. Zach Dezenzo scores. (inning 6) — -17% Astros
9Yainer Diaz doubles (5) on a line drive to left fielder Isaac Collins. Jose Altuve scores. Isaac Paredes scores.9–1
9Isaac Paredes singles on a ground ball to right fielder Daz Cameron. Jeremy Peña scores. Jose Altuve to 2nd.7–1
6Jeremy Peña homers (5) on a fly ball to left field. Jake Meyers scores. Zach Dezenzo scores.6–1
5Eric Haase homers (2) on a fly ball to center field.3–1
5Jose Altuve pops out to shortstop Joey Ortiz.3–0
5Astros challenged (tag play), call on the field was overturned: Jeremy Peña reaches on a fielder's choice, fielded by third baseman Vinny Capra. Zach Dezenzo scores. Brendan Rodgers to 3rd.2–0
2Zach Dezenzo doubles (4) on a line drive to left fielder Isaac Collins. Jake Meyers scores.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.










