Mets at D-backs
Last play · Gabriel Moreno grounds out, second baseman Luisangel Acuña to first baseman Pete Alonso.
Win probability
D-backs0%
NYM 100%AZ 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalNYM 0 – 0 AZ
Tied through 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 10.5 ↓
fair over 46.8% · hold 4.3%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-120 / +100
D-backs favored ↑50%Mets favored ↓
Biggest swing · Juan Soto homers (6) on a fly ball to center field. (inning 6) — -14% Mets
9Juan Soto out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Lourdes Gurriel Jr. Francisco Lindor scores.7–1
9Francisco Lindor doubles (7) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Lourdes Gurriel Jr. José Azócar scores. Tyrone Taylor scores.6–1
8Corbin Carroll homers (11) on a fly ball to center field.4–1
8Juan Soto homers (7) on a fly ball to left field.4–0
7Jeff McNeil triples (2) on a line drive to center fielder Alek Thomas. Luisangel Acuña scores.3–0
7Luisangel Acuña singles on a ground ball to center fielder Alek Thomas. Luis Torrens scores.2–0
6Juan Soto homers (6) on a fly ball to center field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.










