Orioles at Twins
Last play · Jackson Holliday strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Twins100%
BAL 0%MIN 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalBAL 2 – 1 MIN
Orioles led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 9.5 ↓
fair over 50% · hold 4.8%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+135 / -160
Twins favored ↑50%Orioles favored ↓
Biggest swing · Brooks Lee doubles (4) on a sharp fly ball to center fielder Cedric Mullins. Harrison Bader scores. Byron Buxton scores. (inning 8) — +34% Twins
8Ty France singles on a sharp line drive to right fielder Ryan O'Hearn. Brooks Lee scores.2–5
8Brooks Lee doubles (4) on a sharp fly ball to center fielder Cedric Mullins. Harrison Bader scores. Byron Buxton scores.2–4
6Trevor Larnach homers (5) on a fly ball to right field.2–2
3Ryan Mountcastle out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Byron Buxton. Jackson Holliday scores.2–1
2Emmanuel Rivera doubles (1) on a ground ball to left fielder Harrison Bader. Ramón Laureano scores. Coby Mayo to 3rd.1–1
1Ty France singles on a sharp ground ball to right fielder Ryan O'Hearn. Byron Buxton scores.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.










