Phillies at Rays
Last play · José Caballero strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Rays0%
PHI 100%TB 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalPHI 1 – 2 TB
Rays led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 7.5 ↑
fair over 53.2% · hold 4.3%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-160 / +135
Rays favored ↑50%Phillies favored ↓
Biggest swing · Max Kepler grounds out, third baseman José Caballero to first baseman Junior Caminero. Johan Rojas scores. Weston Wilson to 2nd. (inning 9) — -38% Phillies
10Danny Jansen singles on a ground ball to center fielder Johan Rojas. Brandon Lowe scores.7–6
10Trea Turner singles on a sharp ground ball to center fielder Kameron Misner. Brandon Marsh scores.7–5
10Brandon Marsh doubles (2) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Chandler Simpson. Edmundo Sosa scores.6–5
9Max Kepler grounds out, third baseman José Caballero to first baseman Junior Caminero. Johan Rojas scores. Weston Wilson to 2nd.5–5
8Bryson Stott homers (3) on a fly ball to right field. Alec Bohm scores. Brandon Marsh scores.4–5
7Yandy Díaz homers (6) on a line drive to right center field. José Caballero scores. Taylor Walls scores.1–5
3Junior Caminero out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Kyle Schwarber. Taylor Walls scores.1–2
1Junior Caminero homers (7) on a fly ball to right field.1–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.










