Reds at Braves
Last play · Drake Baldwin singles on a line drive to left fielder Gavin Lux. Ozzie Albies scores. Eli White to 2nd.
Win probability
Braves100%
CIN 0%ATL 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalCIN 1 – 2 ATL
Braves led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 9.5 ↓
fair over 46.8% · hold 4.3%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+180 / -215
Braves favored ↑50%Reds favored ↓
Biggest swing · Michael Harris II singles on a ground ball to left fielder Gavin Lux. Eddie Rosario scores. Michael Harris II to 3rd. Michael Harris II advances to 3rd, on a throwing error by left fielder Gavin Lux. (inning 9) — +42% Braves
11Drake Baldwin singles on a line drive to left fielder Gavin Lux. Ozzie Albies scores. Eli White to 2nd.4–5
9Michael Harris II singles on a ground ball to left fielder Gavin Lux. Eddie Rosario scores. Michael Harris II to 3rd. Michael Harris II advances to 3rd, on a throwing error by left fielder Gavin Lux.4–4
9Eli White out on a sacrifice bunt, pitcher Graham Ashcraft to first baseman Spencer Steer. Ozzie Albies scores. Eddie Rosario to 2nd.4–3
9Rece Hinds homers (1) on a fly ball to left center field. Jacob Hurtubise scores.4–2
7TJ Friedl singles on a line drive to right fielder Eli White. Blake Dunn scores. Jose Trevino to 3rd. Rece Hinds to 2nd.2–2
5Michael Harris II triples (1) on a sharp ground ball to right fielder Rece Hinds. Eli White scores.1–2
5Jose Trevino doubles (7) on a line drive to left fielder Alex Verdugo. Spencer Steer scores. Santiago Espinal to 3rd.1–1
1Matt Olson out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Gavin Lux. Austin Riley scores.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.










