Braves at Pirates
Last play · Ozzie Albies lines out to center fielder Oneil Cruz.
Win probability
Pirates100%
ATL 0%PIT 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalATL 0 – 1 PIT
Pirates led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 52.2% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-150 / +125
Pirates favored ↑50%Braves favored ↓
Biggest swing · Jared Triolo homers (1) on a fly ball to left field. (inning 6) — +11% Pirates
9Drake Baldwin singles on a ground ball to right fielder Bryan Reynolds. Alex Verdugo scores.2–3
9Michael Harris II out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Oneil Cruz. Eli White scores.1–3
6Andrew McCutchen doubles (7) on a sharp fly ball to center fielder Michael Harris II. Bryan Reynolds scores.0–3
6Jared Triolo homers (1) on a fly ball to left field.0–2
3Alexander Canario homers (2) on a fly ball to right field.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.










