Phillies at Guardians
Last play · Rafael Marchán grounds out to first baseman Carlos Santana.
Win probability
Guardians100%
PHI 0%CLE 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalPHI 0 – 4 CLE
Guardians led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 9.5 ↓
fair over 48.9% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-120 / +100
Guardians favored ↑50%Phillies favored ↓
Biggest swing · Angel Martínez homers (1) on a fly ball to right center field. Gabriel Arias scores. (inning 5) — +17% Guardians
7José Ramírez homers (6) on a fly ball to right field.0–6
7Daniel Schneemann grounds out to first baseman Bryce Harper. Angel Martínez scores.0–5
5Carlos Santana grounds out, shortstop Trea Turner to first baseman Bryce Harper. Steven Kwan scores. Daniel Schneemann to 3rd. José Ramírez to 2nd.0–4
5Angel Martínez homers (1) on a fly ball to right center field. Gabriel Arias scores.0–3
4Kyle Manzardo homers (9) on a fly ball to center field.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.










