Padres at Rockies
Last play · Sean Bouchard grounds into a double play, shortstop Jose Iglesias to second baseman Jake Cronenworth to first baseman Luis Arraez. Kyle Farmer out at 2nd. Sean Bouchard out at 1st.
Win probability
Rockies0%
SD 100%COL 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalSD 10 – 1 COL
Padres led after 5
Total runs
11.5
opened 12.5 ↓
fair over 53.2% · hold 4.3%
Run line
+2.5
Moneyline
reference-250 / +205
Rockies favored ↑50%Padres favored ↓
Biggest swing · Gavin Sheets doubles (5) on a fly ball to left fielder Jordan Beck. Luis Arraez scores. Jackson Merrill scores. Jake Cronenworth scores. (inning 3) — -20% Padres
9Mickey Moniak out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Jason Heyward. Hunter Goodman scores.13–9
9Hunter Goodman doubles (7) on a sharp ground ball to left fielder Brandon Lockridge. Ryan McMahon scores. Hunter Goodman to 3rd. Hunter Goodman advances to 3rd, on a fielding error by left fielder Brandon Lockridge.13–8
8Brenton Doyle singles on a line drive to right fielder Jason Heyward. Sean Bouchard scores. Adael Amador to 2nd.13–7
8Sean Bouchard singles on a sharp line drive to left fielder Brandon Lockridge. Kyle Farmer scores.13–6
8Kyle Farmer doubles (10) on a fly ball to center fielder Jackson Merrill. Ryan McMahon scores. Hunter Goodman scores.13–5
8Jordan Beck homers (6) on a fly ball to right center field.13–3
8Jake Cronenworth singles on a line drive to right fielder Mickey Moniak. Brandon Lockridge scores.13–2
6Ryan McMahon homers (5) on a fly ball to right field.12–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.










