Giants at Twins
Last play · Jung Hoo Lee flies out to left fielder Harrison Bader.
Win probability
Twins100%
SF 0%MIN 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalSF 0 – 3 MIN
Twins led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 44.7% · hold 4%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-120 / +100
Twins favored ↑50%Giants favored ↓
Biggest swing · Carlos Correa singles on a ground ball to right fielder Mike Yastrzemski. Ty France scores. Carlos Correa out at 2nd on the throw, right fielder Mike Yastrzemski to first baseman LaMonte Wade Jr. (inning 4) — +9% Twins
7Matt Chapman homers (8) on a fly ball to left center field.1–3
5Byron Buxton singles on a ground ball to left fielder Heliot Ramos. Harrison Bader scores. Kody Clemens to 2nd. Fielding error by left fielder Heliot Ramos.0–3
4Carlos Correa singles on a ground ball to right fielder Mike Yastrzemski. Ty France scores. Carlos Correa out at 2nd on the throw, right fielder Mike Yastrzemski to first baseman LaMonte Wade Jr.0–2
1Trevor Larnach singles on a line drive to left fielder Heliot Ramos. Byron Buxton scores.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.










