Red Sox at Royals
Last play · Freddy Fermin singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder Ceddanne Rafaela. Michael Massey scores.
Win probability
Royals100%
BOS 0%KC 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalBOS 0 – 0 KC
Tied through 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 10.5 ↓
fair over 54.3% · hold 4.1%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-110 / -110
Royals favored ↑50%Red Sox favored ↓
Biggest swing · Vinnie Pasquantino singles on a ground ball to right fielder Wilyer Abreu. Drew Waters scores. Bobby Witt Jr. to 2nd. (inning 11) — +42% Royals
12Freddy Fermin singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder Ceddanne Rafaela. Michael Massey scores.1–2
11Vinnie Pasquantino singles on a ground ball to right fielder Wilyer Abreu. Drew Waters scores. Bobby Witt Jr. to 2nd.1–1
11Royals challenged (play at 1st), call on the field was overturned: Rafael Devers grounds out sharply, shortstop Bobby Witt Jr. to first baseman Salvador Perez. Ceddanne Rafaela scores.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.










