Reds at Astros
Last play · Santiago Espinal strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Astros100%
CIN 0%HOU 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalCIN 0 – 3 HOU
Astros led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 8.5 ↓
fair over 53.2% · hold 4.3%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+105 / -125
Astros favored ↑50%Reds favored ↓
Biggest swing · Zach Dezenzo singles on a line drive to left fielder Gavin Lux. Christian Walker scores. (inning 2) — +10% Astros
5Isaac Paredes doubles (4) on a ground ball to right fielder Rece Hinds. Mauricio Dubón scores.0–3
5Jeremy Peña grounds out, second baseman Matt McLain to first baseman Spencer Steer. Brendan Rodgers scores. Mauricio Dubón to 2nd.0–2
2Zach Dezenzo singles on a line drive to left fielder Gavin Lux. Christian Walker scores.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.










