Braves at Pirates
Last play · Tommy Pham grounds out, second baseman Ozzie Albies to first baseman Matt Olson.
Win probability
Pirates0%
ATL 100%PIT 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalATL 2 – 1 PIT
Braves led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 54.3% · hold 4.1%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-150 / +125
Pirates favored ↑50%Braves favored ↓
Biggest swing · Matt Gorski singles on a ground ball to third baseman Austin Riley. Jihwan Bae scores. Matt Gorski to 2nd. Matt Gorski advances to 2nd, on a throwing error by third baseman Austin Riley. (inning 8) — +32% Pirates
11Eli White walks.3–2
8Matt Gorski singles on a ground ball to third baseman Austin Riley. Jihwan Bae scores. Matt Gorski to 2nd. Matt Gorski advances to 2nd, on a throwing error by third baseman Austin Riley.2–2
3Joey Bart singles on a ground ball to center fielder Michael Harris II. Oneil Cruz scores. Andrew McCutchen to 2nd.2–1
3Matt Olson homers (7) on a fly ball to center field.2–0
2Michael Harris II doubles (8) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Bryan Reynolds. Sean Murphy scores.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.










