Phillies at Guardians
Last play · Kyle Manzardo lines out sharply to right fielder Nick Castellanos.
Win probability
Guardians0%
PHI 100%CLE 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalPHI 1 – 0 CLE
Phillies led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 9.5 ↓
fair over 46.8% · hold 4.3%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-135 / +115
Guardians favored ↑50%Phillies favored ↓
Biggest swing · Bryce Harper homers (7) on a fly ball to center field. Trea Turner scores. (inning 8) — -21% Phillies
9Carlos Santana out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Max Kepler. Gabriel Arias scores.7–1
8Edmundo Sosa singles on a line drive to right fielder Jhonkensy Noel. J.T. Realmuto scores. Brandon Marsh to 3rd.7–0
8Brandon Marsh singles on a line drive to center fielder Angel Martínez. Max Kepler scores. J.T. Realmuto to 3rd.6–0
8Max Kepler doubles (8) on a fly ball to center fielder Angel Martínez. Kyle Schwarber scores. Nick Castellanos scores.5–0
8Bryce Harper homers (7) on a fly ball to center field. Trea Turner scores.3–0
4Kyle Schwarber singles on a fly ball to left fielder Steven Kwan. Trea Turner scores. Bryce Harper to 3rd.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.










