Red Sox at Royals
Last play · Jonathan India grounds out, shortstop Trevor Story to first baseman Nick Sogard.
Win probability
Royals0%
BOS 100%KC 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalBOS 4 – 1 KC
Red Sox led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 5.5 ↑
fair over 46.8% · hold 4.3%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-105 / -115
Royals favored ↑50%Red Sox favored ↓
Biggest swing · Jarren Duran singles on a line drive to right fielder Hunter Renfroe. Carlos Narváez scores. Ceddanne Rafaela to 3rd. (inning 5) — -16% Red Sox
8Rafael Devers singles on a ground ball to center fielder Drew Waters, deflected by second baseman Maikel Garcia. Ceddanne Rafaela scores.10–1
8Carlos Narváez homers (4) on a fly ball to left center field. Nick Sogard scores.9–1
7Trevor Story homers (6) on a fly ball to left center field. Rafael Devers scores. Alex Bregman scores.7–1
5Alex Bregman singles on a ground ball to shortstop Bobby Witt Jr. Jarren Duran scores. Rafael Devers to 2nd.4–1
5Rafael Devers singles on a ground ball to center fielder Drew Waters. Ceddanne Rafaela scores. Jarren Duran to 3rd.3–1
5Jarren Duran singles on a line drive to right fielder Hunter Renfroe. Carlos Narváez scores. Ceddanne Rafaela to 3rd.2–1
3Mark Canha singles on a fly ball to center fielder Ceddanne Rafaela, deflected by second baseman Kristian Campbell. Bobby Witt Jr. scores.1–1
3Rafael Devers doubles (12) on a line drive to left fielder Mark Canha. Jarren Duran scores.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.










