Giants at Twins
Last play · Willy Adames called out on strikes.
Win probability
Twins100%
SF 0%MIN 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalSF 1 – 2 MIN
Twins led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 44.7% · hold 4%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-120 / +100
Twins favored ↑50%Giants favored ↓
Biggest swing · Trevor Larnach homers (6) on a fly ball to right field. Christian Vázquez scores. (inning 3) — +25% Twins
3Trevor Larnach homers (6) on a fly ball to right field. Christian Vázquez scores.1–2
2Heliot Ramos homers (6) on a fly ball to left center field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.










