Braves at Pirates
Last play · Joey Bart singles on a ground ball to shortstop Nick Allen. Adam Frazier scores. Ke'Bryan Hayes to 3rd. Andrew McCutchen to 2nd.
Win probability
Pirates100%
ATL 0%PIT 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalATL 0 – 3 PIT
Pirates led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 9.5 ↓
fair over 53.2% · hold 4.3%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-230 / +190
Pirates favored ↑50%Braves favored ↓
Biggest swing · Sean Murphy doubles (4) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Jihwan Bae. Austin Riley scores. Matt Olson scores. Stuart Fairchild scores. (inning 8) — -42% Braves
9Joey Bart singles on a ground ball to shortstop Nick Allen. Adam Frazier scores. Ke'Bryan Hayes to 3rd. Andrew McCutchen to 2nd.3–4
8Sean Murphy doubles (4) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Jihwan Bae. Austin Riley scores. Matt Olson scores. Stuart Fairchild scores.3–3
5Joey Bart singles on a line drive to right fielder Eli White. Bryan Reynolds scores.0–3
5Andrew McCutchen out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Alex Verdugo. Ke'Bryan Hayes scores. Bryan Reynolds to 2nd.0–2
5Bryan Reynolds walks.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.










