Red Sox at Royals
Last play · Mark Canha pops out to first baseman Nick Sogard in foul territory.
Win probability
Royals0%
BOS 100%KC 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalBOS 1 – 1 KC
Tied through 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 7.5 ↑
fair over 51.1% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+115 / -135
Royals favored ↑50%Red Sox favored ↓
Biggest swing · Rafael Devers homers (7) on a fly ball to center field. Jarren Duran scores. (inning 6) — -28% Red Sox
6Rafael Devers homers (7) on a fly ball to center field. Jarren Duran scores.3–1
4Wilyer Abreu homers (10) on a fly ball to right field.1–1
3Kyle Isbel hits a sacrifice bunt. Drew Waters scores. Luke Maile to 2nd. Kyle Isbel to 1st. Throwing error by pitcher Lucas Giolito.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.










