Brewers at Guardians
Last play · Jackson Chourio grounds out, shortstop Gabriel Arias to first baseman Carlos Santana.
Win probability
Guardians100%
MIL 0%CLE 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalMIL 0 – 3 CLE
Guardians led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 10.5 ↓
fair over 50% · hold 7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-125 / -105
Guardians favored ↑50%Brewers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Gabriel Arias doubles (8) on a line drive to center fielder Jackson Chourio. José Ramírez scores. Carlos Santana scores. Bo Naylor scores. (inning 4) — +29% Guardians
7Carlos Santana walks. Angel Martínez scores. Steven Kwan to 3rd. José Ramírez to 2nd.0–5
6Kyle Manzardo singles on a fly ball to center fielder Jackson Chourio. José Ramírez scores.0–4
4Gabriel Arias doubles (8) on a line drive to center fielder Jackson Chourio. José Ramírez scores. Carlos Santana scores. Bo Naylor scores.0–3
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.










